Backward solver

What does Army need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Army can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#166 – #168

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#167

RPI 0.4901

Army has no games left to play.

Today

#167

RPI 0.4901

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#167

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #166 – P95 #168). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#167

RPI 0.4901

Army has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Army at #167. Army can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Army need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Army can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#166 – #168

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#167

RPI 0.4901

Army has no games left to play.

Today

#167

RPI 0.4901

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#167

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #166 – P95 #168). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#167

RPI 0.4901

Army has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Army at #167. Army can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Army need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Army can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#166 – #168

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#167

RPI 0.4901

Army has no games left to play.

Today

#167

RPI 0.4901

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#167

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #166 – P95 #168). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#167

RPI 0.4901

Army has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Army at #167. Army can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Army need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Army can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#166 – #168

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#167

RPI 0.4901

Army has no games left to play.

Today

#167

RPI 0.4901

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#167

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #166 – P95 #168). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#167

RPI 0.4901

Army has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Army at #167. Army can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another