Backward solver

What does Arkansas need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Arkansas has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#21 – #21

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#20

RPI 0.5875

If Arkansas wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#21

RPI 0.5858

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#21

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #21 – P95 #21). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#21

RPI 0.5827

If Arkansas is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Arkansas is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Kansas Regional W R1Missouri State	#20	#21	1

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Arkansas need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Arkansas has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#21 – #21

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#20

RPI 0.5875

If Arkansas wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#21

RPI 0.5858

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#21

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #21 – P95 #21). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#21

RPI 0.5827

If Arkansas is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Arkansas is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Kansas Regional W R1Missouri State	#20	#21	1

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Arkansas need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Arkansas has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#21 – #21

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#20

RPI 0.5875

If Arkansas wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#21

RPI 0.5858

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#21

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #21 – P95 #21). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#21

RPI 0.5827

If Arkansas is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Arkansas is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Kansas Regional W R1Missouri State	#20	#21	1

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Arkansas need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Arkansas has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#21 – #21

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#20

RPI 0.5875

If Arkansas wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#21

RPI 0.5858

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#21

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #21 – P95 #21). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#21

RPI 0.5827

If Arkansas is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Arkansas is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Kansas Regional W R1Missouri State	#20	#21	1

Try another