Backward solver

What does Arizona State need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Arizona State has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#47 – #47

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#41

RPI 0.5597

If Arizona State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#47

RPI 0.5562

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#47

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #47 – P95 #47). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#48

RPI 0.5552

If Arizona State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Arizona State is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Nebraska Regional W R1Ole Miss	#41	#48	7

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Arizona State need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Arizona State has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#47 – #47

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#41

RPI 0.5597

If Arizona State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#47

RPI 0.5562

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#47

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #47 – P95 #47). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#48

RPI 0.5552

If Arizona State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Arizona State is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Nebraska Regional W R1Ole Miss	#41	#48	7

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Arizona State need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Arizona State has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#47 – #47

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#41

RPI 0.5597

If Arizona State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#47

RPI 0.5562

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#47

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #47 – P95 #47). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#48

RPI 0.5552

If Arizona State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Arizona State is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Nebraska Regional W R1Ole Miss	#41	#48	7

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Arizona State need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Arizona State has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#47 – #47

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#41

RPI 0.5597

If Arizona State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#47

RPI 0.5562

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#47

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #47 – P95 #47). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#48

RPI 0.5552

If Arizona State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Arizona State is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Nebraska Regional W R1Ole Miss	#41	#48	7

Try another