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Illinois State at Michigan State · Diamondwire
Illinois State 1 0 2 2 0 2
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Michigan State favored Illinois State favored Illinois State 1–0 Michigan State 1–1 Michigan State 1–3 ▲ 1st· Illinois State batting
· Bakes, Ryan struck out swinging (2-2). · Bakes, Brayd homered to right center, RBI (2-2).+1 R · Mastros, Gra struck out looking (2-2). · Carrano, Mic flied out to cf (0-1). ▼ 1st· Michigan State batting
Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Saturday, May 16, 2026
Venue at Michigan State Illinois State 1 0 2 2 0 2
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Michigan State favored Illinois State favored Illinois State 1–0 Michigan State 1–1 Michigan State 1–3 ▲ 1st· Illinois State batting
· Bakes, Ryan struck out swinging (2-2). · Bakes, Brayd homered to right center, RBI (2-2).+1 R · Mastros, Gra struck out looking (2-2). · Carrano, Mic flied out to cf (0-1). ▼ 1st· Michigan State batting
Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Saturday, May 16, 2026
Venue at Michigan State Michigan State 1 2 1 1 3 1 1 8 · 18 1
Illinois State
3–3
Michigan State 3–4 Illinois State 5–4 Michigan State 5–5 Michigan State 5–8 Illinois State 7–8 Michigan State 7–9 Michigan State 7–10 Illinois State 8–10 Michigan State 8–18
· Williams,N singled to center field (0-0).
· Williams,N stole second.
· Bright,N singled to center field, out at second cf to 1b to ss (3-2); Williams,N advanced to third.
· Thomas,K grounded out to 2b, RBI (0-0); Williams,N scored.+1 R
· Picot,P flied out to rf to right center (0-1). 1-1 ▲ 2nd· Illinois State batting
· Stulga, Luke flied out to cf to left center (0-0). 1-1 · Outlaw, Josh grounded out to 2b (2-2). 1-1 · Machej, Eric walked (3-2). 1-1 · Manning, Jac singled up the middle (0-2); Machej, Eric advanced to second. 1-1 · Barry, Nolan flied out to rf to right center (3-2). 0-1 ▼ 2nd· Michigan State batting
· Sturgess,I doubled down the rf line (0-0). 0-1 · Seymour,R flied out to cf (0-1). 0-1 · Deckinga,C doubled to right field, RBI (0-1); Sturgess,I scored.+1 R 0-1 · McKay,R grounded out to 2b (2-1); Deckinga,C advanced to third. 0-1 · Murphy,D tripled to right center, RBI (0-1); Deckinga,C scored.+1 R 0-1 · Williams,N fouled out to rf down the rf line (0-1). 0-2 ▲ 3rd· Illinois State batting
· Klug,J to p for Greeley,J. 0-2 · Bakes, Ryan hit by pitch (1-2). 0-2 · Bakes, Brayd singled through the right side (1-2); Bakes, Ryan advanced to second. 0-2 · Mastros, Gra singled through the left side (0-1); Bakes, Brayd advanced to second; Bakes, Ryan advanced to third. 0-2 · Carrano, Mic grounded into double play 1b to ss to p (0-0); Mastros, Gra out on the play; Bakes, Brayd advanced to third; Bakes, Ryan scored.+1 R 0-2 · Play challenged & initial safe call overturned: out at 1st. 0-2 · No play. 0-2 · Stulga, Luke singled to left center, RBI (0-1); Bakes, Brayd scored.+1 R 0-2 · Outlaw, Josh lined out to lf (2-2). 2-2 ▼ 3rd· Michigan State batting
· Bright,N walked (3-1). 2-2 · Thomas,K walked (3-1); Bright,N advanced to second. 2-2 · Roehler, Tre to p for Wilmoth, Joe. 2-2 · Picot,P infield fly to 1b down the rf line (0-0); Thomas,K advanced to second; Bright,N advanced to third. 2-2 · Sturgess,I flied out to rf, SF, RBI (3-2); Thomas,K advanced to third; Bright,N scored.+1 R 2-2 · Seymour,R grounded out to ss (0-0). 2-1 ▲ 4th· Illinois State batting
· Chambers,B to p for Klug,J. 2-1 · Machej, Eric singled up the middle (0-0). 2-1 · Manning, Jac struck out swinging (2-2). 2-1 · Machej, Eric advanced to second on a balk. 2-1 · Barry, Nolan grounded out to 2b (0-2); Machej, Eric advanced to third. 2-1 · Bakes, Ryan homered to left center, 2 RBI (0-0); Machej, Eric scored.+2 R 2-1 · Bakes, Brayd walked (3-0). 2-1 · Mastros, Gra reached on a fielder's choice to shortstop (1-0); Bakes, Brayd out at first ss to 1b. 2-1 ▼ 4th· Michigan State batting
· Deckinga,C lined out to cf (1-0). 2-1 · McKay,R grounded out to 1b unassisted down the 1b line (1-2). 2-1 · Murphy,D singled to shortstop, advanced to second on a throwing error by ss (1-2). 2-1 · Williams,N singled to left field, RBI (2-1); Murphy,D scored, unearned.+1 R 2-1 · No play. 2-1 · Bright,N lined out to cf (0-0). 2-1 ▲ 5th· Illinois State batting
· Rudolph,K to p for Chambers,B. 2-1 · Carrano, Mic flied out to cf (2-2). 2-1 · Stulga, Luke singled through the right side (3-1). 2-1 · Outlaw, Josh grounded into double play 2b to ss to 1b (2-0); Stulga, Luke out on the play. 0-1 ▼ 5th· Michigan State batting
· McHarg, Payt to rf for Outlaw, Josh. 0-1 · Thomas,K doubled to right center (3-2). 0-1 · No play. 0-1 · Picot,P homered to left field, 2 RBI (1-0); Thomas,K scored.+2 R 0-1 · Sturgess,I grounded out to 1b unassisted down the 1b line (1-1). 0-1 · Seymour,R homered to left center, RBI (2-2).+1 R 0-1 · Deckinga,C flied out to rf (1-1). 0-1 · McKay,R grounded out to ss (0-0). 0-3 ▲ 6th· Illinois State batting
· Szczepanski to p for Rudolph,K. 0-3 · Machej, Eric walked (3-2). 0-3 · Manning, Jac flied out to cf (0-1). 0-3 · Barry, Nolan singled through the right side (0-2); Machej, Eric advanced to second. 0-3 · Bakes, Ryan walked (3-2); Barry, Nolan advanced to second; Machej, Eric advanced to third. 0-3 · Bakes, Brayd singled up the middle, 2 RBI (0-1); Bakes, Ryan advanced to second; Barry, Nolan scored; Machej, Eric scored.+2 R 0-3 · Mastros, Gra flied out to lf (2-1). 0-3 · Carrano, Mic flied out to cf (0-0). 2-3 ▼ 6th· Michigan State batting
· Zilis, Brayd to p for Roehler, Tre. 2-3 · Murphy,D struck out looking (2-2). 2-3 · Williams,N homered to right field, RBI (2-2).+1 R 2-3 · Bright,N singled down the lf line (2-2). 2-3 · Thomas,K reached on a fielder's choice to second base (1-0); Bright,N advanced to second on a fielding error by 2b. 2-3 · Picot,P struck out swinging (0-2). 2-3 · Sturgess,I grounded out to 2b (0-2). 2-1 ▲ 7th· Illinois State batting
· Grundman,G to p for Szczepanski. 2-1 · Stulga, Luke hit by pitch (0-0). 2-1 · Karczewski, pinch hit. 2-1 · Karczewski, to rf for Outlaw, Josh. 2-1 · Karczewski, singled through the right side (3-1); Stulga, Luke advanced to second. 2-1 · Bussard, Lou pinch ran for Karczewski,. 2-1 · Machej, Eric out at first 1b to 2b down the 1b line, SAC, bunt (1-0); Bussard, Lou advanced to second; Stulga, Luke advanced to third. 2-1 · Manning, Jac struck out looking (1-2). 2-1 · Barry, Nolan grounded out to 2b (1-1). 0-1 ▼ 7th· Michigan State batting
· Bussard, Lou to rf. 0-1 · Manship, Kyl to p for Zilis, Brayd. 0-1 · Seymour,R flied out to rf (0-0). 0-1 · Deckinga,C grounded out to ss (1-1). 0-1 · McKay,R walked (3-2). 0-1 · McKay,R advanced to second on a wild pitch. 0-1 · Murphy,D singled to center field, RBI (1-1); McKay,R scored.+1 R 0-1 · Williams,N flied out to rf down the rf line (0-0). 0-1 ▲ 8th· Illinois State batting
· Higgins,N to p for Grundman,G. 0-1 · Bakes, Ryan struck out swinging (1-2). 0-1 · Bakes, Brayd singled to right field (0-1). 0-1 · Mastros, Gra reached on a fielder's choice to shortstop (1-2); Bakes, Brayd advanced to second on a fielding error by ss. 0-1 · Carrano, Mic singled up the middle, RBI (0-0); Mastros, Gra advanced to second; Bakes, Brayd scored, unearned.+1 R 0-1 · Stulga, Luke struck out swinging (1-2). 0-1 · Bussard, Lou out at first 1b to p down the 1b line (2-1). 1-1 ▼ 8th· Michigan State batting
· Girard, Nola to p for Manship, Kyl. 1-1 · Bright,N singled to right center (0-0). 1-1 · Thomas,K walked (3-1); Bright,N advanced to second. 1-1 · Thomas,K stole second; Bright,N stole third. 1-1 · Picot,P homered to left center, 3 RBI (1-0); Thomas,K scored; Bright,N scored.+3 R 1-1 · Sturgess,I walked (3-0). 1-1 · Seymour,R lined out to lf (0-0). 1-1 · Deckinga,C singled through the right side (0-0); Sturgess,I advanced to third. 1-1 · McKay,R singled through the right side, RBI (0-1); Deckinga,C advanced to second; Sturgess,I scored.+1 R 1-1 · Schriefer, T to p for Manship, Kyl. 1-1 · Murphy,D flied out to cf (1-2). 1-1 · Williams,N hit by pitch (3-0); McKay,R advanced to second; Deckinga,C advanced to third. 1-1 · Bright,N homered to left field, 4 RBI (2-2); Williams,N scored; McKay,R scored; Deckinga,C scored.+4 R 1-8 Michigan State 1 2 1 1 3 1 1 8 · 18 1
Illinois State
3–3
Michigan State 3–4 Illinois State 5–4 Michigan State 5–5 Michigan State 5–8 Illinois State 7–8 Michigan State 7–9 Michigan State 7–10 Illinois State 8–10 Michigan State 8–18
· Williams,N singled to center field (0-0).
· Williams,N stole second.
· Bright,N singled to center field, out at second cf to 1b to ss (3-2); Williams,N advanced to third.
· Thomas,K grounded out to 2b, RBI (0-0); Williams,N scored.+1 R
· Picot,P flied out to rf to right center (0-1). 1-1 ▲ 2nd· Illinois State batting
· Stulga, Luke flied out to cf to left center (0-0). 1-1 · Outlaw, Josh grounded out to 2b (2-2). 1-1 · Machej, Eric walked (3-2). 1-1 · Manning, Jac singled up the middle (0-2); Machej, Eric advanced to second. 1-1 · Barry, Nolan flied out to rf to right center (3-2). 0-1 ▼ 2nd· Michigan State batting
· Sturgess,I doubled down the rf line (0-0). 0-1 · Seymour,R flied out to cf (0-1). 0-1 · Deckinga,C doubled to right field, RBI (0-1); Sturgess,I scored.+1 R 0-1 · McKay,R grounded out to 2b (2-1); Deckinga,C advanced to third. 0-1 · Murphy,D tripled to right center, RBI (0-1); Deckinga,C scored.+1 R 0-1 · Williams,N fouled out to rf down the rf line (0-1). 0-2 ▲ 3rd· Illinois State batting
· Klug,J to p for Greeley,J. 0-2 · Bakes, Ryan hit by pitch (1-2). 0-2 · Bakes, Brayd singled through the right side (1-2); Bakes, Ryan advanced to second. 0-2 · Mastros, Gra singled through the left side (0-1); Bakes, Brayd advanced to second; Bakes, Ryan advanced to third. 0-2 · Carrano, Mic grounded into double play 1b to ss to p (0-0); Mastros, Gra out on the play; Bakes, Brayd advanced to third; Bakes, Ryan scored.+1 R 0-2 · Play challenged & initial safe call overturned: out at 1st. 0-2 · No play. 0-2 · Stulga, Luke singled to left center, RBI (0-1); Bakes, Brayd scored.+1 R 0-2 · Outlaw, Josh lined out to lf (2-2). 2-2 ▼ 3rd· Michigan State batting
· Bright,N walked (3-1). 2-2 · Thomas,K walked (3-1); Bright,N advanced to second. 2-2 · Roehler, Tre to p for Wilmoth, Joe. 2-2 · Picot,P infield fly to 1b down the rf line (0-0); Thomas,K advanced to second; Bright,N advanced to third. 2-2 · Sturgess,I flied out to rf, SF, RBI (3-2); Thomas,K advanced to third; Bright,N scored.+1 R 2-2 · Seymour,R grounded out to ss (0-0). 2-1 ▲ 4th· Illinois State batting
· Chambers,B to p for Klug,J. 2-1 · Machej, Eric singled up the middle (0-0). 2-1 · Manning, Jac struck out swinging (2-2). 2-1 · Machej, Eric advanced to second on a balk. 2-1 · Barry, Nolan grounded out to 2b (0-2); Machej, Eric advanced to third. 2-1 · Bakes, Ryan homered to left center, 2 RBI (0-0); Machej, Eric scored.+2 R 2-1 · Bakes, Brayd walked (3-0). 2-1 · Mastros, Gra reached on a fielder's choice to shortstop (1-0); Bakes, Brayd out at first ss to 1b. 2-1 ▼ 4th· Michigan State batting
· Deckinga,C lined out to cf (1-0). 2-1 · McKay,R grounded out to 1b unassisted down the 1b line (1-2). 2-1 · Murphy,D singled to shortstop, advanced to second on a throwing error by ss (1-2). 2-1 · Williams,N singled to left field, RBI (2-1); Murphy,D scored, unearned.+1 R 2-1 · No play. 2-1 · Bright,N lined out to cf (0-0). 2-1 ▲ 5th· Illinois State batting
· Rudolph,K to p for Chambers,B. 2-1 · Carrano, Mic flied out to cf (2-2). 2-1 · Stulga, Luke singled through the right side (3-1). 2-1 · Outlaw, Josh grounded into double play 2b to ss to 1b (2-0); Stulga, Luke out on the play. 0-1 ▼ 5th· Michigan State batting
· McHarg, Payt to rf for Outlaw, Josh. 0-1 · Thomas,K doubled to right center (3-2). 0-1 · No play. 0-1 · Picot,P homered to left field, 2 RBI (1-0); Thomas,K scored.+2 R 0-1 · Sturgess,I grounded out to 1b unassisted down the 1b line (1-1). 0-1 · Seymour,R homered to left center, RBI (2-2).+1 R 0-1 · Deckinga,C flied out to rf (1-1). 0-1 · McKay,R grounded out to ss (0-0). 0-3 ▲ 6th· Illinois State batting
· Szczepanski to p for Rudolph,K. 0-3 · Machej, Eric walked (3-2). 0-3 · Manning, Jac flied out to cf (0-1). 0-3 · Barry, Nolan singled through the right side (0-2); Machej, Eric advanced to second. 0-3 · Bakes, Ryan walked (3-2); Barry, Nolan advanced to second; Machej, Eric advanced to third. 0-3 · Bakes, Brayd singled up the middle, 2 RBI (0-1); Bakes, Ryan advanced to second; Barry, Nolan scored; Machej, Eric scored.+2 R 0-3 · Mastros, Gra flied out to lf (2-1). 0-3 · Carrano, Mic flied out to cf (0-0). 2-3 ▼ 6th· Michigan State batting
· Zilis, Brayd to p for Roehler, Tre. 2-3 · Murphy,D struck out looking (2-2). 2-3 · Williams,N homered to right field, RBI (2-2).+1 R 2-3 · Bright,N singled down the lf line (2-2). 2-3 · Thomas,K reached on a fielder's choice to second base (1-0); Bright,N advanced to second on a fielding error by 2b. 2-3 · Picot,P struck out swinging (0-2). 2-3 · Sturgess,I grounded out to 2b (0-2). 2-1 ▲ 7th· Illinois State batting
· Grundman,G to p for Szczepanski. 2-1 · Stulga, Luke hit by pitch (0-0). 2-1 · Karczewski, pinch hit. 2-1 · Karczewski, to rf for Outlaw, Josh. 2-1 · Karczewski, singled through the right side (3-1); Stulga, Luke advanced to second. 2-1 · Bussard, Lou pinch ran for Karczewski,. 2-1 · Machej, Eric out at first 1b to 2b down the 1b line, SAC, bunt (1-0); Bussard, Lou advanced to second; Stulga, Luke advanced to third. 2-1 · Manning, Jac struck out looking (1-2). 2-1 · Barry, Nolan grounded out to 2b (1-1). 0-1 ▼ 7th· Michigan State batting
· Bussard, Lou to rf. 0-1 · Manship, Kyl to p for Zilis, Brayd. 0-1 · Seymour,R flied out to rf (0-0). 0-1 · Deckinga,C grounded out to ss (1-1). 0-1 · McKay,R walked (3-2). 0-1 · McKay,R advanced to second on a wild pitch. 0-1 · Murphy,D singled to center field, RBI (1-1); McKay,R scored.+1 R 0-1 · Williams,N flied out to rf down the rf line (0-0). 0-1 ▲ 8th· Illinois State batting
· Higgins,N to p for Grundman,G. 0-1 · Bakes, Ryan struck out swinging (1-2). 0-1 · Bakes, Brayd singled to right field (0-1). 0-1 · Mastros, Gra reached on a fielder's choice to shortstop (1-2); Bakes, Brayd advanced to second on a fielding error by ss. 0-1 · Carrano, Mic singled up the middle, RBI (0-0); Mastros, Gra advanced to second; Bakes, Brayd scored, unearned.+1 R 0-1 · Stulga, Luke struck out swinging (1-2). 0-1 · Bussard, Lou out at first 1b to p down the 1b line (2-1). 1-1 ▼ 8th· Michigan State batting
· Girard, Nola to p for Manship, Kyl. 1-1 · Bright,N singled to right center (0-0). 1-1 · Thomas,K walked (3-1); Bright,N advanced to second. 1-1 · Thomas,K stole second; Bright,N stole third. 1-1 · Picot,P homered to left center, 3 RBI (1-0); Thomas,K scored; Bright,N scored.+3 R 1-1 · Sturgess,I walked (3-0). 1-1 · Seymour,R lined out to lf (0-0). 1-1 · Deckinga,C singled through the right side (0-0); Sturgess,I advanced to third. 1-1 · McKay,R singled through the right side, RBI (0-1); Deckinga,C advanced to second; Sturgess,I scored.+1 R 1-1 · Schriefer, T to p for Manship, Kyl. 1-1 · Murphy,D flied out to cf (1-2). 1-1 · Williams,N hit by pitch (3-0); McKay,R advanced to second; Deckinga,C advanced to third. 1-1 · Bright,N homered to left field, 4 RBI (2-2); Williams,N scored; McKay,R scored; Deckinga,C scored.+4 R 1-8 
