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RPI from the NCAA .
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UC Davis at Cal State Fullerton · Diamondwire
at Cal State Fullerton FINAL UC Davis 0 2 1 0 0 2 0
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Cal State Fullerton favored UC Davis favored UC Davis 2–0 UC Davis 3–0 UC Davis 5–0 ▲ 1st· UC Davis batting
· Story singled to center field (0-1 K). 0-0 55% · Howard reached on a fielder's choice to third base (2-0 BB); Story out at second 3b to 2b. 0-0 55% · Mault struck out swinging (2-2 BKSFBS); Howard out at second c unassisted, interference. 0-0 55% ▼ 1st· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Miller, N. singled up the middle (1-1 KB). Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Sunday, May 3, 2026
Venue at Cal State Fullerton at Cal State Fullerton FINAL UC Davis 0 2 1 0 0 2 0
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Cal State Fullerton favored UC Davis favored UC Davis 2–0 UC Davis 3–0 UC Davis 5–0 ▲ 1st· UC Davis batting
· Story singled to center field (0-1 K). 0-0 55% · Howard reached on a fielder's choice to third base (2-0 BB); Story out at second 3b to 2b. 0-0 55% · Mault struck out swinging (2-2 BKSFBS); Howard out at second c unassisted, interference. 0-0 55% ▼ 1st· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Miller, N. singled up the middle (1-1 KB). Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Sunday, May 3, 2026
Venue at Cal State Fullerton Cal State Fullerton 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 9 1
Cal State Fullerton
5–2
UC Davis 6–2 0-0 55%
· Kim, C. grounded into double play ss to 2b to 1b (0-1 K); Miller, N. out on the play. 0-0 55%
· Contreras, P flied out to rf (1-1 BK). 0-0 55% ▲ 2nd· UC Davis batting
· McNeal popped up to 2b (0-0). 0-0 54% · Murphy singled to left field (1-0 B). 0-0 54% · Felix homered to left field, 2 RBI (1-1 BK); Murphy scored.+2 R 2-0 50% · Lee flied out to cf (0-1 K). 2-0 50% · Wooldridge struck out looking (2-2 BBKFK). 2-0 50% ▼ 2nd· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Kirchner, A. out at first 1b to p (0-0). 2-0 51% · Meyer, H. struck out looking (2-2 KBKBK). 2-0 51% · Ortega, M. hit by pitch (1-2 KSB). 2-0 51% · Dobson, B. struck out swinging (2-2 BKKBS). 2-0 51% ▲ 3rd· UC Davis batting
· Wright walked (3-1 FBBBB). 2-0 45% · Story singled through the left side (0-0); Wright advanced to third. 2-0 45% · Howard struck out swinging (2-2 KFBBFS). 2-0 45% · Mault reached on a fielding error by p, SAC, bunt, RBI (0-0); Story advanced to second; Wright scored.+1 R 3-0 43% · McNeal hit by pitch (2-2 BSBS); Mault advanced to second; Story advanced to third. 3-0 43% · Murphy grounded into double play 2b to ss to 1b (2-1 FBB); McNeal out on the play. 3-0 43% ▼ 3rd· Cal State Fullerton batting
· O'Hara, C. walked (3-2 BSBBKB). 3-0 44% · Beeson, B. flied out to cf (3-2 KFBBB). 3-0 44% · Miller, N. flied out to rf (1-1 BF). 3-0 44% · Kim, C. popped up to 3b (2-1 BKB). 3-0 44% ▲ 4th· UC Davis batting
· Felix flied out to rf (0-1 K). 3-0 37% · Lee struck out swinging (2-2 FBBKS). 3-0 37% · Wooldridge out at first 1b to p (0-0). 3-0 37% ▼ 4th· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Contreras, P flied out to lf (1-2 KKB). 3-0 39% · Kirchner, A. singled to right field (3-2 BBFBS). 3-0 39% · Meyer, H. walked (3-2 BKBBFB); Kirchner, A. advanced to second. 3-0 39% · Ortega, M. infield fly to ss (2-1 BFB). 3-0 39% · Dobson, B. grounded out to 2b (1-2 BFF). 3-0 39% ▲ 5th· UC Davis batting
· Wright doubled to right center (0-2 FKF). 3-0 31% · Story grounded out to 3b, SAC, bunt (1-0 B); Wright advanced to third. 3-0 31% · Howard flied out to rf (2-0 BB). 3-0 31% · Mault grounded out to ss (1-1 KB). 3-0 31% ▼ 5th· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Werth to p for Bonanno. 3-0 33% · O'Hara, C. fouled out to 1b (3-1 BSBB). 3-0 33% · Beeson, B. struck out swinging (2-2 BFBSS). 3-0 33% · Miller, N. flied out to cf (1-2 BSF). 3-0 33% ▲ 6th· UC Davis batting
· McNeal walked (3-0 BBBB). 3-0 25% · Murphy singled up the middle (0-0); McNeal advanced to third. 3-0 25% · Felix singled to right field, RBI (2-2 FBBK); Murphy advanced to second; McNeal scored.+1 R 4-0 23% · Felix advanced to second on a wild pitch; Murphy advanced to third on a wild pitch. 4-0 23% · Lee flied out to rf (1-0 B). 4-0 23% · Wooldridge intentionally walked. 4-0 23% · Wright hit by pitch, RBI (2-2 FKBB); Wooldridge advanced to second; Felix advanced to third; Murphy scored.+1 R 5-0 22% · Story reached on a fielder's choice to pitcher (1-1 BS); Wright advanced to second; Wooldridge advanced to third; Felix out at home p to c. 5-0 22% · Howard fouled out to rf (3-1 BBKB). 5-0 22% ▼ 6th· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Kim, C. singled to center field (3-2 BKKBBF). 5-0 24% · Contreras, P flied out to cf (0-1 K). 5-0 24% · Fullerton's challenge is unsuccessful the batter is out. 5-0 24% · Kirchner, A. struck out looking (0-2 FSK). 5-0 24% · Meyer, H. flied out to rf (0-0). 5-0 24% ▲ 7th· UC Davis batting
· Dockan, B. to p for Smith, D.. 5-0 15% · Mault singled to center field (0-0). 5-0 15% · McNeal flied out to cf (2-1 BBK). 5-0 15% · Murphy flied out to lf (0-1 K). 5-0 15% · Felix grounded out to p (0-0). 5-0 15% ▼ 7th· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Meek to p for Werth. 5-0 18% · Ortega, M. doubled to left field (1-0 B). 5-0 18% · Burdick, C. pinch hit for Dobson, B.. 5-0 18% · Burdick, C. fouled out to c (1-2 KFBF). 5-0 18% · O'Hara, C. flied out to cf (3-1 BBKB). 5-0 18% · Beeson, B. walked (3-1 BBBKB). 5-0 18% · Storjohann to p for Meek. 5-0 18% · Miller, N. grounded out to 2b (0-2 KFF). 5-0 18% ▲ 8th· UC Davis batting
· Lee flied out to cf (1-0 B). 5-0 8% · Wooldridge lined out to 1b (0-1 K). 5-0 8% · Wright singled to left center (0-0). 5-0 8% · Story flied out to lf (1-2 KFB). 5-0 8% ▼ 8th· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Lerma to p for Storjohann. 5-0 12% · Kim, C. grounded out to 2b (1-1 FB). 5-0 12% · Contreras, P singled to center field (0-1 F). 5-0 12% · Kirchner, A. popped up to 2b (0-0). 5-0 12% · Meyer, H. singled up the middle (2-2 KBFBF); Contreras, P advanced to second. 5-0 12% · Ortega, M. singled through the left side, RBI (1-2 KBFF); Meyer, H. advanced to second; Contreras, P scored.+1 R 5-1 13% · Olazaba, E. pinch hit for Burdick, C.. 5-1 13% · Olazaba, E. singled up the middle, RBI (3-2 FBBBKF); Ortega, M. advanced to second; Meyer, H. scored.+1 R 5-2 17% · O'Hara, C. struck out swinging (3-2 BFBBSFS). 5-2 17% ▲ 9th· UC Davis batting
· Kim, C. to ss. 5-2 7% · Olazaba, E. to 3b. 5-2 7% · Dockan, B. to p for O'Hara, C.. 5-2 7% · / for Dockan, B.. 5-2 7% · Howard homered to center field, RBI (1-2 FBF).+1 R 6-2 3% · Mayer, B. to p for Dockan, B.. 6-2 3% · Mault struck out swinging (3-2 BKFBBS). 6-2 3% · McNeal grounded out to ss (3-2 BBBKF). 6-2 3% · Murphy grounded out to p (1-1 BF). 6-2 3% ▼ 9th· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Kang to lf for Murphy. 6-2 7% · Beeson, B. struck out looking (3-2 BBKFFBK). 6-2 7% · Miller, N. singled through the left side (2-2 KSBB). 6-2 7% · Kim, C. reached on a fielder's choice to shortstop (2-2 KFBB); Miller, N. out at second ss to 2b. 6-2 7% · Kim, C. advanced to second on a wild pitch. 6-2 7% · Contreras, P reached on a throwing error by ss (2-2 BFSBF); Kim, C. advanced to third. 6-2 7% · Kirchner, A. flied out to cf (0-1 K). 6-2 7% Cal State Fullerton 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 9 1
Cal State Fullerton
5–2
UC Davis 6–2 0-0 55%
· Kim, C. grounded into double play ss to 2b to 1b (0-1 K); Miller, N. out on the play. 0-0 55%
· Contreras, P flied out to rf (1-1 BK). 0-0 55% ▲ 2nd· UC Davis batting
· McNeal popped up to 2b (0-0). 0-0 54% · Murphy singled to left field (1-0 B). 0-0 54% · Felix homered to left field, 2 RBI (1-1 BK); Murphy scored.+2 R 2-0 50% · Lee flied out to cf (0-1 K). 2-0 50% · Wooldridge struck out looking (2-2 BBKFK). 2-0 50% ▼ 2nd· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Kirchner, A. out at first 1b to p (0-0). 2-0 51% · Meyer, H. struck out looking (2-2 KBKBK). 2-0 51% · Ortega, M. hit by pitch (1-2 KSB). 2-0 51% · Dobson, B. struck out swinging (2-2 BKKBS). 2-0 51% ▲ 3rd· UC Davis batting
· Wright walked (3-1 FBBBB). 2-0 45% · Story singled through the left side (0-0); Wright advanced to third. 2-0 45% · Howard struck out swinging (2-2 KFBBFS). 2-0 45% · Mault reached on a fielding error by p, SAC, bunt, RBI (0-0); Story advanced to second; Wright scored.+1 R 3-0 43% · McNeal hit by pitch (2-2 BSBS); Mault advanced to second; Story advanced to third. 3-0 43% · Murphy grounded into double play 2b to ss to 1b (2-1 FBB); McNeal out on the play. 3-0 43% ▼ 3rd· Cal State Fullerton batting
· O'Hara, C. walked (3-2 BSBBKB). 3-0 44% · Beeson, B. flied out to cf (3-2 KFBBB). 3-0 44% · Miller, N. flied out to rf (1-1 BF). 3-0 44% · Kim, C. popped up to 3b (2-1 BKB). 3-0 44% ▲ 4th· UC Davis batting
· Felix flied out to rf (0-1 K). 3-0 37% · Lee struck out swinging (2-2 FBBKS). 3-0 37% · Wooldridge out at first 1b to p (0-0). 3-0 37% ▼ 4th· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Contreras, P flied out to lf (1-2 KKB). 3-0 39% · Kirchner, A. singled to right field (3-2 BBFBS). 3-0 39% · Meyer, H. walked (3-2 BKBBFB); Kirchner, A. advanced to second. 3-0 39% · Ortega, M. infield fly to ss (2-1 BFB). 3-0 39% · Dobson, B. grounded out to 2b (1-2 BFF). 3-0 39% ▲ 5th· UC Davis batting
· Wright doubled to right center (0-2 FKF). 3-0 31% · Story grounded out to 3b, SAC, bunt (1-0 B); Wright advanced to third. 3-0 31% · Howard flied out to rf (2-0 BB). 3-0 31% · Mault grounded out to ss (1-1 KB). 3-0 31% ▼ 5th· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Werth to p for Bonanno. 3-0 33% · O'Hara, C. fouled out to 1b (3-1 BSBB). 3-0 33% · Beeson, B. struck out swinging (2-2 BFBSS). 3-0 33% · Miller, N. flied out to cf (1-2 BSF). 3-0 33% ▲ 6th· UC Davis batting
· McNeal walked (3-0 BBBB). 3-0 25% · Murphy singled up the middle (0-0); McNeal advanced to third. 3-0 25% · Felix singled to right field, RBI (2-2 FBBK); Murphy advanced to second; McNeal scored.+1 R 4-0 23% · Felix advanced to second on a wild pitch; Murphy advanced to third on a wild pitch. 4-0 23% · Lee flied out to rf (1-0 B). 4-0 23% · Wooldridge intentionally walked. 4-0 23% · Wright hit by pitch, RBI (2-2 FKBB); Wooldridge advanced to second; Felix advanced to third; Murphy scored.+1 R 5-0 22% · Story reached on a fielder's choice to pitcher (1-1 BS); Wright advanced to second; Wooldridge advanced to third; Felix out at home p to c. 5-0 22% · Howard fouled out to rf (3-1 BBKB). 5-0 22% ▼ 6th· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Kim, C. singled to center field (3-2 BKKBBF). 5-0 24% · Contreras, P flied out to cf (0-1 K). 5-0 24% · Fullerton's challenge is unsuccessful the batter is out. 5-0 24% · Kirchner, A. struck out looking (0-2 FSK). 5-0 24% · Meyer, H. flied out to rf (0-0). 5-0 24% ▲ 7th· UC Davis batting
· Dockan, B. to p for Smith, D.. 5-0 15% · Mault singled to center field (0-0). 5-0 15% · McNeal flied out to cf (2-1 BBK). 5-0 15% · Murphy flied out to lf (0-1 K). 5-0 15% · Felix grounded out to p (0-0). 5-0 15% ▼ 7th· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Meek to p for Werth. 5-0 18% · Ortega, M. doubled to left field (1-0 B). 5-0 18% · Burdick, C. pinch hit for Dobson, B.. 5-0 18% · Burdick, C. fouled out to c (1-2 KFBF). 5-0 18% · O'Hara, C. flied out to cf (3-1 BBKB). 5-0 18% · Beeson, B. walked (3-1 BBBKB). 5-0 18% · Storjohann to p for Meek. 5-0 18% · Miller, N. grounded out to 2b (0-2 KFF). 5-0 18% ▲ 8th· UC Davis batting
· Lee flied out to cf (1-0 B). 5-0 8% · Wooldridge lined out to 1b (0-1 K). 5-0 8% · Wright singled to left center (0-0). 5-0 8% · Story flied out to lf (1-2 KFB). 5-0 8% ▼ 8th· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Lerma to p for Storjohann. 5-0 12% · Kim, C. grounded out to 2b (1-1 FB). 5-0 12% · Contreras, P singled to center field (0-1 F). 5-0 12% · Kirchner, A. popped up to 2b (0-0). 5-0 12% · Meyer, H. singled up the middle (2-2 KBFBF); Contreras, P advanced to second. 5-0 12% · Ortega, M. singled through the left side, RBI (1-2 KBFF); Meyer, H. advanced to second; Contreras, P scored.+1 R 5-1 13% · Olazaba, E. pinch hit for Burdick, C.. 5-1 13% · Olazaba, E. singled up the middle, RBI (3-2 FBBBKF); Ortega, M. advanced to second; Meyer, H. scored.+1 R 5-2 17% · O'Hara, C. struck out swinging (3-2 BFBBSFS). 5-2 17% ▲ 9th· UC Davis batting
· Kim, C. to ss. 5-2 7% · Olazaba, E. to 3b. 5-2 7% · Dockan, B. to p for O'Hara, C.. 5-2 7% · / for Dockan, B.. 5-2 7% · Howard homered to center field, RBI (1-2 FBF).+1 R 6-2 3% · Mayer, B. to p for Dockan, B.. 6-2 3% · Mault struck out swinging (3-2 BKFBBS). 6-2 3% · McNeal grounded out to ss (3-2 BBBKF). 6-2 3% · Murphy grounded out to p (1-1 BF). 6-2 3% ▼ 9th· Cal State Fullerton batting
· Kang to lf for Murphy. 6-2 7% · Beeson, B. struck out looking (3-2 BBKFFBK). 6-2 7% · Miller, N. singled through the left side (2-2 KSBB). 6-2 7% · Kim, C. reached on a fielder's choice to shortstop (2-2 KFBB); Miller, N. out at second ss to 2b. 6-2 7% · Kim, C. advanced to second on a wild pitch. 6-2 7% · Contreras, P reached on a throwing error by ss (2-2 BFSBF); Kim, C. advanced to third. 6-2 7% · Kirchner, A. flied out to cf (0-1 K). 6-2 7% 
