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Mercer at Samford · Diamondwire
Mercer 1 0 4 5 1 5 0 0
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Samford favored Mercer favored Mercer 1–0 Samford 1–1 Mercer 5–1 ▲ 1st· Mercer batting
· Graziano struck out swinging. · Shepherd struck out swinging. · Katz homered to left center, RBI.+1 R · Stephens struck out swinging. ▼ 1st· Samford batting
Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Saturday, May 2, 2026
Venue at Samford Mercer 1 0 4 5 1 5 0 0
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Samford favored Mercer favored Mercer 1–0 Samford 1–1 Mercer 5–1 ▲ 1st· Mercer batting
· Graziano struck out swinging. · Shepherd struck out swinging. · Katz homered to left center, RBI.+1 R · Stephens struck out swinging. ▼ 1st· Samford batting
Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Saturday, May 2, 2026
Venue at Samford Samford 1 0 2 1 0 0 3 1 0 16 2
Samford
5–3
Mercer 10–3 Samford 10–4 Mercer 11–4 Mercer 16–4 Samford 16–7 Samford 16–8 ·
Dutton flied out to lf.
· Souders homered to right center, RBI.+1 R
· Carr singled to center field.
· Higgins struck out swinging.
· Boykin singled to left field; Carr advanced to second.
· Ince struck out swinging, out at first c to 1b. 1-1 36% ▲ 2nd· Mercer batting
· Kamaka struck out looking. 1-1 37% · Baughcum flied out to rf. 1-1 37% · Kersey struck out swinging. 0-1 40% ▼ 2nd· Samford batting
· Marshall singled through the left side. 0-1 40% · McDonald singled up the middle; Marshall advanced to second. 0-1 40% · Gandy fouled out to c. 0-1 40% · Dutton flied out to lf. 0-1 40% · Souders struck out swinging. 0-0 37% ▲ 3rd· Mercer batting
· LaPointe struck out swinging. 0-0 39% · Buffone singled to left field. 0-0 39% · Graziano hit by pitch; Buffone advanced to second. 0-0 39% · Shepherd homered to left center, 3 RBI; Graziano scored; Buffone scored.+3 R 0-0 39% · Katz doubled down the lf line. 0-0 39% · Stephens fouled out to 3b. 0-0 39% · Kamaka singled to left field, RBI; Katz scored.+1 R 0-0 39% · Baughcum fouled out to 1b. 4-0 28% ▼ 3rd· Samford batting
· Carr out at first p to 2b to 1b. 4-0 29% · Higgins hit by pitch. 4-0 29% · Boykin homered to left field, 2 RBI; Higgins scored.+2 R 4-0 29% · Ince grounded out to 2b. 4-0 29% · Marshall popped up to 3b. 4-2 32% ▲ 4th· Mercer batting
· Kersey flied out to lf. 4-2 28% · LaPointe flied out to cf. 4-2 28% · Buffone doubled to left center. 4-2 28% · Graziano reached on a fielding error by ss; Buffone advanced to third. 4-2 28% · Graziano stole second. 4-2 28% · Shepherd walked. 4-2 28% · Katz walked, RBI; Shepherd advanced to second; Graziano advanced to third; Buffone scored, unearned.+1 R 4-2 28% · Stephens homered to left center, 4 RBI, unearned; Katz scored, unearned; Shepherd scored, unearned; Graziano scored, unearned.+4 R 4-2 28% · Kamaka singled to right field. 4-2 28% · Baughcum flied out to rf. 5-2 25% ▼ 4th· Samford batting
· McDonald homered to left center, RBI.+1 R 5-2 27% · Gandy singled to left field. 5-2 27% · Dutton reached on a fielder's choice; Gandy out at second ss to 2b. 5-2 27% · Souders popped up to 2b. 5-2 27% · Carr flied out to rf. 5-1 25% ▲ 5th· Mercer batting
· Druckenmille to p for Blasche. 5-1 19% · Kersey homered to right field, RBI.+1 R 5-1 19% · LaPointe struck out swinging. 5-1 19% · Buffone struck out swinging. 5-1 19% · Graziano struck out swinging. 1-1 43% ▼ 5th· Samford batting
· Higgins grounded out to p. 1-1 43% · Boykin singled through the left side. 1-1 43% · Ince struck out swinging. 1-1 43% · Marshall reached on a fielder's choice; Boykin out at second ss to 2b. 1-0 35% ▲ 6th· Mercer batting
· Shepherd struck out swinging. 1-0 32% · Katz singled down the lf line. 1-0 32% · Stephens walked; Katz advanced to second. 1-0 32% · Kamaka singled to left field, RBI; Stephens advanced to second; Katz scored.+1 R 1-0 32% · Baughcum hit by pitch; Kamaka advanced to second; Stephens advanced to third. 1-0 32% · Marble to p for Druckenmille. 1-0 32% · Kersey homered to right center, 4 RBI; Baughcum scored; Kamaka scored; Stephens scored.+4 R 1-0 32% · LaPointe grounded out to 2b. 1-0 32% · Buffone struck out looking. 5-0 14% ▼ 6th· Samford batting
· McDonald flied out to rf. 5-0 17% · Gandy flied out to cf. 5-0 17% · Dutton flied out to cf. 5-0 17% ▲ 7th· Mercer batting
· Fredette to p for Marble. 5-0 10% · Graziano reached on a fielding error by 1b. 5-0 10% · Shepherd walked; Graziano advanced to second. 5-0 10% · Katz flied into triple play cf to 2b to 1b; Shepherd out on the play; Graziano out on the play. 0-0 46% ▼ 7th· Samford batting
· Rowland to rf for Stephens. 0-0 46% · Souders singled to center field. 0-0 46% · Souders advanced to second on a wild pitch. 0-0 46% · Carr singled to center field; Souders advanced to third. 0-0 46% · Higgins grounded out to 1b unassisted, RBI; Carr advanced to second; Souders scored.+1 R 0-0 46% · Decker to p for Hugas. 0-0 46% · Boykin fouled out to 1b. 0-0 46% · Ince singled to second base, advanced to second on a throwing error by 1b; Carr scored.+1 R 0-0 46% · Marshall singled up the middle, RBI; Ince scored, unearned.+1 R 0-0 46% · McDonald singled to left field; Marshall advanced to second. 0-0 46% · Gandy struck out swinging. 0-3 78% ▲ 8th· Mercer batting
· Gaeto to p for Fredette. 0-3 86% · Perry to c for Carr. 0-3 86% · Rowland grounded out to 3b. 0-3 86% · Kamaka grounded out to ss. 0-3 86% · Baughcum singled through the right side. 0-3 86% · Kersey grounded out to 2b. 0-3 86% ▼ 8th· Samford batting
· Dutton walked. 0-3 86% · Souders walked; Dutton advanced to second. 0-3 86% · Cole to p for Decker. 0-3 86% · Perry struck out looking. 0-3 86% · Higgins singled to right field, RBI; Souders advanced to second; Dutton scored.+1 R 0-3 86% · Boykin flied out to cf; Souders advanced to third. 0-3 86% · Ince struck out swinging. 0-1 66% ▲ 9th· Mercer batting
· Sanders to p for Gaeto. 0-1 70% · LaPointe struck out swinging. 0-1 70% · Buffone struck out swinging. 0-1 70% · Graziano struck out swinging. 0-1 70% ▼ 9th· Samford batting
· Marshall struck out swinging. 0-1 70% · McDonald flied out to cf. 0-1 70% · Gandy singled to third base. 0-1 70% · Gandy stole second. 0-1 70% · Dutton grounded out to 2b. 0-0 50% Samford 1 0 2 1 0 0 3 1 0 16 2
Samford
5–3
Mercer 10–3 Samford 10–4 Mercer 11–4 Mercer 16–4 Samford 16–7 Samford 16–8 ·
Dutton flied out to lf.
· Souders homered to right center, RBI.+1 R
· Carr singled to center field.
· Higgins struck out swinging.
· Boykin singled to left field; Carr advanced to second.
· Ince struck out swinging, out at first c to 1b. 1-1 36% ▲ 2nd· Mercer batting
· Kamaka struck out looking. 1-1 37% · Baughcum flied out to rf. 1-1 37% · Kersey struck out swinging. 0-1 40% ▼ 2nd· Samford batting
· Marshall singled through the left side. 0-1 40% · McDonald singled up the middle; Marshall advanced to second. 0-1 40% · Gandy fouled out to c. 0-1 40% · Dutton flied out to lf. 0-1 40% · Souders struck out swinging. 0-0 37% ▲ 3rd· Mercer batting
· LaPointe struck out swinging. 0-0 39% · Buffone singled to left field. 0-0 39% · Graziano hit by pitch; Buffone advanced to second. 0-0 39% · Shepherd homered to left center, 3 RBI; Graziano scored; Buffone scored.+3 R 0-0 39% · Katz doubled down the lf line. 0-0 39% · Stephens fouled out to 3b. 0-0 39% · Kamaka singled to left field, RBI; Katz scored.+1 R 0-0 39% · Baughcum fouled out to 1b. 4-0 28% ▼ 3rd· Samford batting
· Carr out at first p to 2b to 1b. 4-0 29% · Higgins hit by pitch. 4-0 29% · Boykin homered to left field, 2 RBI; Higgins scored.+2 R 4-0 29% · Ince grounded out to 2b. 4-0 29% · Marshall popped up to 3b. 4-2 32% ▲ 4th· Mercer batting
· Kersey flied out to lf. 4-2 28% · LaPointe flied out to cf. 4-2 28% · Buffone doubled to left center. 4-2 28% · Graziano reached on a fielding error by ss; Buffone advanced to third. 4-2 28% · Graziano stole second. 4-2 28% · Shepherd walked. 4-2 28% · Katz walked, RBI; Shepherd advanced to second; Graziano advanced to third; Buffone scored, unearned.+1 R 4-2 28% · Stephens homered to left center, 4 RBI, unearned; Katz scored, unearned; Shepherd scored, unearned; Graziano scored, unearned.+4 R 4-2 28% · Kamaka singled to right field. 4-2 28% · Baughcum flied out to rf. 5-2 25% ▼ 4th· Samford batting
· McDonald homered to left center, RBI.+1 R 5-2 27% · Gandy singled to left field. 5-2 27% · Dutton reached on a fielder's choice; Gandy out at second ss to 2b. 5-2 27% · Souders popped up to 2b. 5-2 27% · Carr flied out to rf. 5-1 25% ▲ 5th· Mercer batting
· Druckenmille to p for Blasche. 5-1 19% · Kersey homered to right field, RBI.+1 R 5-1 19% · LaPointe struck out swinging. 5-1 19% · Buffone struck out swinging. 5-1 19% · Graziano struck out swinging. 1-1 43% ▼ 5th· Samford batting
· Higgins grounded out to p. 1-1 43% · Boykin singled through the left side. 1-1 43% · Ince struck out swinging. 1-1 43% · Marshall reached on a fielder's choice; Boykin out at second ss to 2b. 1-0 35% ▲ 6th· Mercer batting
· Shepherd struck out swinging. 1-0 32% · Katz singled down the lf line. 1-0 32% · Stephens walked; Katz advanced to second. 1-0 32% · Kamaka singled to left field, RBI; Stephens advanced to second; Katz scored.+1 R 1-0 32% · Baughcum hit by pitch; Kamaka advanced to second; Stephens advanced to third. 1-0 32% · Marble to p for Druckenmille. 1-0 32% · Kersey homered to right center, 4 RBI; Baughcum scored; Kamaka scored; Stephens scored.+4 R 1-0 32% · LaPointe grounded out to 2b. 1-0 32% · Buffone struck out looking. 5-0 14% ▼ 6th· Samford batting
· McDonald flied out to rf. 5-0 17% · Gandy flied out to cf. 5-0 17% · Dutton flied out to cf. 5-0 17% ▲ 7th· Mercer batting
· Fredette to p for Marble. 5-0 10% · Graziano reached on a fielding error by 1b. 5-0 10% · Shepherd walked; Graziano advanced to second. 5-0 10% · Katz flied into triple play cf to 2b to 1b; Shepherd out on the play; Graziano out on the play. 0-0 46% ▼ 7th· Samford batting
· Rowland to rf for Stephens. 0-0 46% · Souders singled to center field. 0-0 46% · Souders advanced to second on a wild pitch. 0-0 46% · Carr singled to center field; Souders advanced to third. 0-0 46% · Higgins grounded out to 1b unassisted, RBI; Carr advanced to second; Souders scored.+1 R 0-0 46% · Decker to p for Hugas. 0-0 46% · Boykin fouled out to 1b. 0-0 46% · Ince singled to second base, advanced to second on a throwing error by 1b; Carr scored.+1 R 0-0 46% · Marshall singled up the middle, RBI; Ince scored, unearned.+1 R 0-0 46% · McDonald singled to left field; Marshall advanced to second. 0-0 46% · Gandy struck out swinging. 0-3 78% ▲ 8th· Mercer batting
· Gaeto to p for Fredette. 0-3 86% · Perry to c for Carr. 0-3 86% · Rowland grounded out to 3b. 0-3 86% · Kamaka grounded out to ss. 0-3 86% · Baughcum singled through the right side. 0-3 86% · Kersey grounded out to 2b. 0-3 86% ▼ 8th· Samford batting
· Dutton walked. 0-3 86% · Souders walked; Dutton advanced to second. 0-3 86% · Cole to p for Decker. 0-3 86% · Perry struck out looking. 0-3 86% · Higgins singled to right field, RBI; Souders advanced to second; Dutton scored.+1 R 0-3 86% · Boykin flied out to cf; Souders advanced to third. 0-3 86% · Ince struck out swinging. 0-1 66% ▲ 9th· Mercer batting
· Sanders to p for Gaeto. 0-1 70% · LaPointe struck out swinging. 0-1 70% · Buffone struck out swinging. 0-1 70% · Graziano struck out swinging. 0-1 70% ▼ 9th· Samford batting
· Marshall struck out swinging. 0-1 70% · McDonald flied out to cf. 0-1 70% · Gandy singled to third base. 0-1 70% · Gandy stole second. 0-1 70% · Dutton grounded out to 2b. 0-0 50% 
