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RPI from the NCAA .
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Louisville at Western Kentucky · Diamondwire
Louisville 0 0 0 2 3 0 0
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Western Kentucky favored Louisville favored Western Kentucky 0–4 Louisville 2–4 Western Kentucky 2–5 ▲ 1st· Louisville batting
· Moore grounded out to 2b (0-0). · Slanker walked (3-2 BSBBSFB). · T. Davis popped up to 3b (0-1 K). · Slanker out at second c to 2b, caught stealing. ▼ 1st· Western Kentucky batting
Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Tuesday, March 24, 2026
Venue at Western Kentucky Louisville 0 0 0 2 3 0 0
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Western Kentucky favored Louisville favored Western Kentucky 0–4 Louisville 2–4 Western Kentucky 2–5 ▲ 1st· Louisville batting
· Moore grounded out to 2b (0-0). · Slanker walked (3-2 BSBBSFB). · T. Davis popped up to 3b (0-1 K). · Slanker out at second c to 2b, caught stealing. ▼ 1st· Western Kentucky batting
Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Tuesday, March 24, 2026
Venue at Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 4 0 0 1 0 1 4 0 · 16 0
Louisville
5–5
Western Kentucky 5–6 Western Kentucky 5–10 ·
Robbins, H. singled to right center (1-1 KB).
· Arroyos, L. doubled down the lf line, RBI (0-1 K); Robbins, H. scored.+1 R
· Hayes, K. doubled to right center, RBI (0-0); Arroyos, L. scored.+1 R
· Ross, C. reached on a throwing error by 3b, advanced to second on the throw (0-0); Hayes, K. scored on the throw, unearned.+1 R
· Nazarenus, H singled through the left side (2-2 BBSK); Ross, C. advanced to third.
· Nazarenus, H stole second.
· Acosta, J. singled to left center, RBI (1-2 SSB); Nazarenus, H advanced to third; Ross, C. scored.+1 R
· Nazarenus, H out at third p to 3b, picked off.
· Haller, A. walked (3-2 BBKKFBB); Acosta, J. advanced to second.
· Haller, A. advanced to second; Acosta, J. out at third c to 3b, caught stealing.
· Alberto, M. walked (3-2 BKBSBB).
· Reynolds, E. walked (3-0 BBBB); Alberto, M. advanced to second; Haller, A. advanced to third.
· Schweitzer to p for Vorster.
· Robbins, H. popped up to p (1-1 BF). 0-4 42% ▲ 2nd· Louisville batting
· Hot struck out swinging (1-2 FBKS). 0-4 49% · G. Crain struck out swinging (3-2 BBKFBFS). 0-4 49% · Nugent doubled down the lf line (2-1 BKB). 0-4 49% · Hisle struck out swinging (1-2 BFFS). 0-4 49% ▼ 2nd· Western Kentucky batting
· Arroyos, L. grounded out to ss (2-2 FSBB). 0-4 49% · Hayes, K. lined out to 2b (1-2 BKK). 0-4 49% · Ross, C. grounded out to ss (0-0). 0-0 43% ▲ 3rd· Louisville batting
· Vawter, B. to p for Uebelhor, M.. 0-0 44% · Elam flied out to lf (0-0). 0-0 44% · Alicea hit by pitch (1-0 B). 0-0 44% · Moore grounded out to 1b unassisted (0-0); Alicea advanced to second. 0-0 44% · Slanker fouled out to lf (3-2 BSKBB). 0-0 44% ▼ 3rd· Western Kentucky batting
· Nazarenus, H out at first 1b to p (1-0 B). 0-0 44% · Acosta, J. singled to left field (2-1 KBB). 0-0 44% · Haller, A. grounded out to 1b unassisted (0-0); Acosta, J. advanced to second. 0-0 44% · Alberto, M. out at first 1b to p (1-1 KB). 0-0 44% ▲ 4th· Louisville batting
· T. Davis walked (3-0 BBBB). 0-0 45% · Favela, J. to p for Vawter, B.. 0-0 45% · Hot hit by pitch (1-1 FB); T. Davis advanced to second. 0-0 45% · Hot advanced to second on a wild pitch; T. Davis advanced to third on a wild pitch. 0-0 45% · G. Crain flied out to rf, SF, RBI (2-1 BFB); Hot advanced to third; T. Davis scored.+1 R 0-0 45% · Nugent grounded out to ss, RBI (0-0); Hot scored.+1 R 0-0 45% · Hisle walked (3-0 BBBB). 0-0 45% · Frizzi, S. to p for Favela, J.. 0-0 45% · Elam struck out swinging (0-2 FSS). 2-0 32% ▼ 4th· Western Kentucky batting
· Ballard to p for Schweitzer. 2-0 34% · Reynolds, E. walked (3-0 BBBB). 2-0 34% · Robbins, H. struck out looking (2-2 BKBFK). 2-0 34% · Arroyos, L. singled to right field (2-0 BB); Reynolds, E. advanced to second. 2-0 34% · J. Brown to p for Ballard. 2-0 34% · Hayes, K. grounded out to 1b unassisted (1-0 B); Arroyos, L. advanced to second; Reynolds, E. advanced to third. 2-0 34% · Ross, C. singled to left field, RBI (3-2 BBKBK); Arroyos, L. advanced to third; Reynolds, E. scored.+1 R 2-0 34% · Nazarenus, H struck out swinging (2-2 KBBKS). 2-1 39% ▲ 5th· Louisville batting
· Alicea grounded out to 1b unassisted (0-1 K). 2-1 36% · Moore singled through the right side (1-1 BK). 2-1 36% · Slanker doubled to left center, RBI (0-1 K); Moore scored.+1 R 2-1 36% · Monaco, D. to p for Frizzi, S.. 2-1 36% · T. Davis homered to left field, 2 RBI (2-2 BKKB); Slanker scored.+2 R 2-1 36% · Hot struck out looking (1-2 KBFK). 2-1 36% · G. Crain walked (3-2 BBFBFB). 2-1 36% · Nugent reached on a fielder's choice (1-1 KB); G. Crain out at second 2b unassisted. 3-1 29% ▼ 5th· Western Kentucky batting
· Acosta, J. grounded out to p (3-2 KBBKBF). 3-1 31% · Haller, A. singled to right field (1-1 KB). 3-1 31% · Alberto, M. lined out to lf (2-2 KBSB). 3-1 31% · Reynolds, E. singled through the left side (1-2 BKFF); Haller, A. advanced to second. 3-1 31% · Robbins, H. reached on a fielder's choice (3-1 BBBK); Reynolds, E. advanced to second; Haller, A. out at third 3b unassisted. 3-0 27% ▲ 6th· Louisville batting
· Samuels, K. to p for Monaco, D.. 3-0 20% · Coley, P. to rf for Reynolds, E.. 3-0 20% · Hisle grounded out to 2b (0-1 F). 3-0 20% · Elam singled to center field (0-0). 3-0 20% · Elam advanced to second, out at second c to ss. 3-0 20% · Alicea struck out looking (1-2 KFBK). 0-0 47% ▼ 6th· Western Kentucky batting
· Arroyos, L. walked (3-2 BKFBBB). 0-0 47% · Michael to p for J. Brown. 0-0 47% · Arroyos, L. advanced to second on a wild pitch. 0-0 47% · Hayes, K. walked (3-1 BBBKB). 0-0 47% · Ross, C. singled to shortstop (2-2 KKBB); Hayes, K. advanced to second; Arroyos, L. advanced to third. 0-0 47% · Nazarenus, H struck out swinging (0-2 FSS). 0-0 47% · Acosta, J. reached on a fielding error by lf (0-0); Ross, C. advanced to second; Hayes, K. advanced to third; Arroyos, L. scored, unearned.+1 R 0-0 47% · Haller, A. struck out looking (2-2 BKFFBK). 0-0 47% · Alberto, M. struck out looking (2-2 KBBSFK). 0-1 60% ▲ 7th· Louisville batting
· Moore struck out swinging (1-2 KFBFFS). 0-1 63% · Slanker struck out swinging (3-2 KBFBFBS). 0-1 63% · T. Davis grounded out to 2b (2-1 BBS). 0-1 63% ▼ 7th· Western Kentucky batting
· Coley, P. tripled to right center (3-2 BBKSB). 0-1 63% · Robbins, H. grounded out to 3b (0-2 KF). 0-1 63% · Eberle to p for Michael. 0-1 63% · Arroyos, L. hit by pitch (0-0). 0-1 63% · Bean to p for Eberle. 0-1 63% · Arroyos, L. stole second. 0-1 63% · Hayes, K. doubled to left field, 2 RBI (3-2 BKBKB); Arroyos, L. scored; Coley, P. scored.+2 R 0-1 63% · Ross, C. singled through the left side (1-0 B); Hayes, K. advanced to third. 0-1 63% · Nazarenus, H fouled out to c (0-0). 0-1 63% · Ross, C. advanced to second on a throwing error by c; Hayes, K. scored on the throw.+1 R 0-1 63% · Acosta, J. doubled down the lf line, RBI; Ross, C. scored.+1 R 0-1 63% · Haller, A. struck out looking (2-2 KBKBK). 0-4 83% ▲ 8th· Louisville batting
· Tarnoki, K. to lf for Nazarenus, H. 0-4 90% · Wolf, C. to p for Samuels, K.. 0-4 90% · Hot flied out to cf (0-1 F). 0-4 90% · G. Crain grounded out to 1b unassisted (2-2 FBBK). 0-4 90% · Baker pinch hit for Nugent. 0-4 90% · Baker flied out to lf (0-0). 0-4 90% ▼ 8th· Western Kentucky batting
· Baker to c. 0-4 90% · Stahl to p for Bean. 0-4 90% · Alberto, M. grounded out to 2b (3-2 BFKBBF). 0-4 90% · Coley, P. singled up the middle (2-2 KFBFB). 0-4 90% · Coley, P. advanced to second on a muffed throw by 1b, interference, picked off. 0-4 90% · Robbins, H. grounded out to 2b (2-1 BBK); Coley, P. advanced to third. 0-4 90% · Arroyos, L. grounded out to p (3-1 BBBK). 0-0 49% ▲ 9th· Louisville batting
· Z. Davis pinch hit for Hisle. 0-0 50% · Z. Davis struck out swinging (2-2 KBKBS). 0-0 50% · Elam singled to left field (0-0). 0-0 50% · Alicea flied out to lf (1-1 BF). 0-0 50% · Moore out at first 1b to p (0-0). 0-0 50% Western Kentucky 4 0 0 1 0 1 4 0 · 16 0
Louisville
5–5
Western Kentucky 5–6 Western Kentucky 5–10 ·
Robbins, H. singled to right center (1-1 KB).
· Arroyos, L. doubled down the lf line, RBI (0-1 K); Robbins, H. scored.+1 R
· Hayes, K. doubled to right center, RBI (0-0); Arroyos, L. scored.+1 R
· Ross, C. reached on a throwing error by 3b, advanced to second on the throw (0-0); Hayes, K. scored on the throw, unearned.+1 R
· Nazarenus, H singled through the left side (2-2 BBSK); Ross, C. advanced to third.
· Nazarenus, H stole second.
· Acosta, J. singled to left center, RBI (1-2 SSB); Nazarenus, H advanced to third; Ross, C. scored.+1 R
· Nazarenus, H out at third p to 3b, picked off.
· Haller, A. walked (3-2 BBKKFBB); Acosta, J. advanced to second.
· Haller, A. advanced to second; Acosta, J. out at third c to 3b, caught stealing.
· Alberto, M. walked (3-2 BKBSBB).
· Reynolds, E. walked (3-0 BBBB); Alberto, M. advanced to second; Haller, A. advanced to third.
· Schweitzer to p for Vorster.
· Robbins, H. popped up to p (1-1 BF). 0-4 42% ▲ 2nd· Louisville batting
· Hot struck out swinging (1-2 FBKS). 0-4 49% · G. Crain struck out swinging (3-2 BBKFBFS). 0-4 49% · Nugent doubled down the lf line (2-1 BKB). 0-4 49% · Hisle struck out swinging (1-2 BFFS). 0-4 49% ▼ 2nd· Western Kentucky batting
· Arroyos, L. grounded out to ss (2-2 FSBB). 0-4 49% · Hayes, K. lined out to 2b (1-2 BKK). 0-4 49% · Ross, C. grounded out to ss (0-0). 0-0 43% ▲ 3rd· Louisville batting
· Vawter, B. to p for Uebelhor, M.. 0-0 44% · Elam flied out to lf (0-0). 0-0 44% · Alicea hit by pitch (1-0 B). 0-0 44% · Moore grounded out to 1b unassisted (0-0); Alicea advanced to second. 0-0 44% · Slanker fouled out to lf (3-2 BSKBB). 0-0 44% ▼ 3rd· Western Kentucky batting
· Nazarenus, H out at first 1b to p (1-0 B). 0-0 44% · Acosta, J. singled to left field (2-1 KBB). 0-0 44% · Haller, A. grounded out to 1b unassisted (0-0); Acosta, J. advanced to second. 0-0 44% · Alberto, M. out at first 1b to p (1-1 KB). 0-0 44% ▲ 4th· Louisville batting
· T. Davis walked (3-0 BBBB). 0-0 45% · Favela, J. to p for Vawter, B.. 0-0 45% · Hot hit by pitch (1-1 FB); T. Davis advanced to second. 0-0 45% · Hot advanced to second on a wild pitch; T. Davis advanced to third on a wild pitch. 0-0 45% · G. Crain flied out to rf, SF, RBI (2-1 BFB); Hot advanced to third; T. Davis scored.+1 R 0-0 45% · Nugent grounded out to ss, RBI (0-0); Hot scored.+1 R 0-0 45% · Hisle walked (3-0 BBBB). 0-0 45% · Frizzi, S. to p for Favela, J.. 0-0 45% · Elam struck out swinging (0-2 FSS). 2-0 32% ▼ 4th· Western Kentucky batting
· Ballard to p for Schweitzer. 2-0 34% · Reynolds, E. walked (3-0 BBBB). 2-0 34% · Robbins, H. struck out looking (2-2 BKBFK). 2-0 34% · Arroyos, L. singled to right field (2-0 BB); Reynolds, E. advanced to second. 2-0 34% · J. Brown to p for Ballard. 2-0 34% · Hayes, K. grounded out to 1b unassisted (1-0 B); Arroyos, L. advanced to second; Reynolds, E. advanced to third. 2-0 34% · Ross, C. singled to left field, RBI (3-2 BBKBK); Arroyos, L. advanced to third; Reynolds, E. scored.+1 R 2-0 34% · Nazarenus, H struck out swinging (2-2 KBBKS). 2-1 39% ▲ 5th· Louisville batting
· Alicea grounded out to 1b unassisted (0-1 K). 2-1 36% · Moore singled through the right side (1-1 BK). 2-1 36% · Slanker doubled to left center, RBI (0-1 K); Moore scored.+1 R 2-1 36% · Monaco, D. to p for Frizzi, S.. 2-1 36% · T. Davis homered to left field, 2 RBI (2-2 BKKB); Slanker scored.+2 R 2-1 36% · Hot struck out looking (1-2 KBFK). 2-1 36% · G. Crain walked (3-2 BBFBFB). 2-1 36% · Nugent reached on a fielder's choice (1-1 KB); G. Crain out at second 2b unassisted. 3-1 29% ▼ 5th· Western Kentucky batting
· Acosta, J. grounded out to p (3-2 KBBKBF). 3-1 31% · Haller, A. singled to right field (1-1 KB). 3-1 31% · Alberto, M. lined out to lf (2-2 KBSB). 3-1 31% · Reynolds, E. singled through the left side (1-2 BKFF); Haller, A. advanced to second. 3-1 31% · Robbins, H. reached on a fielder's choice (3-1 BBBK); Reynolds, E. advanced to second; Haller, A. out at third 3b unassisted. 3-0 27% ▲ 6th· Louisville batting
· Samuels, K. to p for Monaco, D.. 3-0 20% · Coley, P. to rf for Reynolds, E.. 3-0 20% · Hisle grounded out to 2b (0-1 F). 3-0 20% · Elam singled to center field (0-0). 3-0 20% · Elam advanced to second, out at second c to ss. 3-0 20% · Alicea struck out looking (1-2 KFBK). 0-0 47% ▼ 6th· Western Kentucky batting
· Arroyos, L. walked (3-2 BKFBBB). 0-0 47% · Michael to p for J. Brown. 0-0 47% · Arroyos, L. advanced to second on a wild pitch. 0-0 47% · Hayes, K. walked (3-1 BBBKB). 0-0 47% · Ross, C. singled to shortstop (2-2 KKBB); Hayes, K. advanced to second; Arroyos, L. advanced to third. 0-0 47% · Nazarenus, H struck out swinging (0-2 FSS). 0-0 47% · Acosta, J. reached on a fielding error by lf (0-0); Ross, C. advanced to second; Hayes, K. advanced to third; Arroyos, L. scored, unearned.+1 R 0-0 47% · Haller, A. struck out looking (2-2 BKFFBK). 0-0 47% · Alberto, M. struck out looking (2-2 KBBSFK). 0-1 60% ▲ 7th· Louisville batting
· Moore struck out swinging (1-2 KFBFFS). 0-1 63% · Slanker struck out swinging (3-2 KBFBFBS). 0-1 63% · T. Davis grounded out to 2b (2-1 BBS). 0-1 63% ▼ 7th· Western Kentucky batting
· Coley, P. tripled to right center (3-2 BBKSB). 0-1 63% · Robbins, H. grounded out to 3b (0-2 KF). 0-1 63% · Eberle to p for Michael. 0-1 63% · Arroyos, L. hit by pitch (0-0). 0-1 63% · Bean to p for Eberle. 0-1 63% · Arroyos, L. stole second. 0-1 63% · Hayes, K. doubled to left field, 2 RBI (3-2 BKBKB); Arroyos, L. scored; Coley, P. scored.+2 R 0-1 63% · Ross, C. singled through the left side (1-0 B); Hayes, K. advanced to third. 0-1 63% · Nazarenus, H fouled out to c (0-0). 0-1 63% · Ross, C. advanced to second on a throwing error by c; Hayes, K. scored on the throw.+1 R 0-1 63% · Acosta, J. doubled down the lf line, RBI; Ross, C. scored.+1 R 0-1 63% · Haller, A. struck out looking (2-2 KBKBK). 0-4 83% ▲ 8th· Louisville batting
· Tarnoki, K. to lf for Nazarenus, H. 0-4 90% · Wolf, C. to p for Samuels, K.. 0-4 90% · Hot flied out to cf (0-1 F). 0-4 90% · G. Crain grounded out to 1b unassisted (2-2 FBBK). 0-4 90% · Baker pinch hit for Nugent. 0-4 90% · Baker flied out to lf (0-0). 0-4 90% ▼ 8th· Western Kentucky batting
· Baker to c. 0-4 90% · Stahl to p for Bean. 0-4 90% · Alberto, M. grounded out to 2b (3-2 BFKBBF). 0-4 90% · Coley, P. singled up the middle (2-2 KFBFB). 0-4 90% · Coley, P. advanced to second on a muffed throw by 1b, interference, picked off. 0-4 90% · Robbins, H. grounded out to 2b (2-1 BBK); Coley, P. advanced to third. 0-4 90% · Arroyos, L. grounded out to p (3-1 BBBK). 0-0 49% ▲ 9th· Louisville batting
· Z. Davis pinch hit for Hisle. 0-0 50% · Z. Davis struck out swinging (2-2 KBKBS). 0-0 50% · Elam singled to left field (0-0). 0-0 50% · Alicea flied out to lf (1-1 BF). 0-0 50% · Moore out at first 1b to p (0-0). 0-0 50% 
