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Toledo at Dayton · Diamondwire
Toledo 0 0 3 0 0 0 5 ·
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Dayton favored Toledo favored Dayton 0–4 Dayton 0–9 Toledo 3–9 ▲ 1st· Toledo batting
· BAKER struck out swinging. · SCHOLVIN flied out to cf. · SUDBROOK singled to right center. · SUDBROOK out at second c to 2b, caught stealing. ▼ 1st· Dayton batting
Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Venue at Dayton Toledo 0 0 3 0 0 0 5 ·
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Dayton favored Toledo favored Dayton 0–4 Dayton 0–9 Toledo 3–9 ▲ 1st· Toledo batting
· BAKER struck out swinging. · SCHOLVIN flied out to cf. · SUDBROOK singled to right center. · SUDBROOK out at second c to 2b, caught stealing. ▼ 1st· Dayton batting
Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Venue at Dayton Dayton 4 5 0 2 2 2 3 · · 17 1
Dayton
3–11
Dayton 3–13 Dayton 3–15 Toledo 8–15 Dayton 8–18 MACDOUGALL D walked.
· WOUTERS, D singled down the lf line, bunt; MACDOUGALL D advanced to second.
· STEM, S singled, bunt; WOUTERS, D advanced to second; MACDOUGALL D advanced to third.
· HOWELL, M singled through the left side, 2 RBI; STEM, S advanced to second; WOUTERS, D scored; MACDOUGALL D scored.+2 R
· HOWELL, M advanced to second on a wild pitch; STEM, S advanced to third on a wild pitch.
· BELLO, J grounded out to ss, RBI; HOWELL, M advanced to third; STEM, S scored.+1 R
· SMITH, M flied out to rf, SF, RBI; HOWELL, M scored.+1 R
· LYNCH, C struck out swinging. 0-4 ▲ 2nd· Toledo batting
· McCRANIE flied out to cf. 0-4 · WALTON flied out to cf. 0-4 · ARSICH flied out to rf. 0-4 ▼ 2nd· Dayton batting
· STANG, B singled up the middle. 0-4 · CARPENTER, G singled down the rf line, advanced to second; STANG, B advanced to third. 0-4 · MACDOUGALL D homered to right field, 3 RBI; CARPENTER, G scored; STANG, B scored.+3 R 0-4 · WOUTERS, D singled to left center. 0-4 · WOUTERS, D advanced to second on a passed ball. 0-4 · STEM, S struck out swinging. 0-4 · HOWELL, M homered to right center, 2 RBI; WOUTERS, D scored.+2 R 0-4 · CURRY to p for GIESIGE. 0-4 · BELLO, J struck out looking. 0-4 · SMITH, M walked. 0-4 · SMITH, M advanced to second on a passed ball. 0-4 · SMITH, M advanced to third on a wild pitch. 0-4 · LYNCH, C walked. 0-4 · STANG, B struck out swinging, out at first c to 1b. 0-5 ▲ 3rd· Toledo batting
· CAHILL singled to second base. 0-5 · O'BRIEN homered to left field, 2 RBI; CAHILL scored.+2 R 0-5 · SUDBROOK, R walked. 0-5 · BAKER hit by pitch; SUDBROOK, R advanced to second. 0-5 · COX, D to p for PERKOWSKI, W. 0-5 · SCHOLVIN singled through the left side, RBI; BAKER advanced to second; SUDBROOK, R scored.+1 R 0-5 · SUDBROOK struck out swinging. 0-5 · McCRANIE grounded into double play ss to 2b to 1b; SCHOLVIN out on the play. 3-5 ▼ 3rd· Dayton batting
· CARPENTER, G grounded out to 2b. 3-5 · MACDOUGALL D singled to left field. 3-5 · MACDOUGALL D stole second. 3-5 · WOUTERS, D walked. 3-5 · MACDOUGALL D stole third. 3-5 · STEM, S struck out swinging; WOUTERS, D stole second. 3-5 · HOWELL, M flied out to cf. 3-0 ▲ 4th· Toledo batting
· WALTON struck out swinging. 3-0 · ARSICH struck out swinging. 3-0 · CAHILL walked. 3-0 · O'BRIEN singled to left field; CAHILL advanced to second. 3-0 · SAMUELS, C to p for COX, D. 3-0 · SUDBROOK, R grounded out to 2b. 0-0 ▼ 4th· Dayton batting
· BELLO, J struck out swinging. 0-0 · SMITH, M singled to third base. 0-0 · SMITH, M stole second. 0-0 · LYNCH, C doubled to right center, RBI; SMITH, M scored.+1 R 0-0 · STANG, B struck out looking. 0-0 · CARPENTER, G doubled to left field, RBI; LYNCH, C scored.+1 R 0-0 · CARPENTER, G picked off. 0-0 · CARPENTER, G picked off. 0-0 · CARPENTER, G out at second c to 2b, picked off. 0-2 ▲ 5th· Toledo batting
· AHLERS, T to rf for STEM, S. 0-2 · BAKER fouled out to lf. 0-2 · SCHOLVIN flied out to rf. 0-2 · SUDBROOK grounded out to 1b unassisted. 0-2 ▼ 5th· Dayton batting
· ORMAZA to p for CURRY. 0-2 · MACDOUGALL D struck out swinging. 0-2 · WOUTERS, D hit by pitch. 0-2 · AHLERS, T walked; WOUTERS, D advanced to second. 0-2 · AHLERS, T stole second, advanced to third; WOUTERS, D stole third, scored on the throw.+1 R 0-2 · HOWELL, M singled to left field, RBI; AHLERS, T scored.+1 R 0-2 · HOWELL, M advanced to second on a wild pitch. 0-2 · BELLO, J lined into double play ss to 2b; HOWELL, M out on the play. 0-2 ▲ 6th· Toledo batting
· McCRANIE doubled to right center. 0-2 · MEYER to dh for WALTON. 0-2 · MEYER walked. 0-2 · ARSICH grounded into double play 2b to 1b; MEYER out on the play. 0-2 · PAYNE pinch hit for CAHILL. 0-2 · PAYNE struck out looking. 0-2 ▼ 6th· Dayton batting
· ZUMWALT to 1b for PAYNE. 0-2 · SMITH, M walked. 0-2 · SMITH, M advanced to second on a passed ball. 0-2 · LYNCH, C doubled to left center, RBI; SMITH, M scored.+1 R 0-2 · HOJNOWSKI to p for ORMAZA. 0-2 · LYNCH, C advanced to third on a wild pitch. 0-2 · STANG, B walked. 0-2 · CARPENTER, G flied out to 2b. 0-2 · MACDOUGALL D walked; STANG, B advanced to second. 0-2 · WOUTERS, D flied out to cf, RBI; LYNCH, C scored.+1 R 0-2 · AHLERS, T struck out swinging. 0-2 ▲ 7th· Toledo batting
· MACDOUGALL R to c for HOWELL, M. 0-2 · MALECHA, P to p for SAMUELS, C. 0-2 · LINDQUIST pinch hit for O'BRIEN. 0-2 · CAMBPELL pinch hit for SUDBROOK, R. 0-2 · LINDQUIST walked. 0-2 · CAMBPELL flied out to lf. 0-2 · BAKER singled through the left side; LINDQUIST advanced to second. 0-2 · SCHOLVIN singled to left center, RBI; BAKER advanced to second; LINDQUIST scored.+1 R 0-2 · COLLINS, L to p for MALECHA, P. 0-2 · SCHOLVIN advanced to second on a balk; BAKER advanced to third. 0-2 · SUDBROOK doubled to right center, 2 RBI; SCHOLVIN scored; BAKER scored.+2 R 0-2 · GROESCHL, B to p for COLLINS, L. 0-2 · McCRANIE singled to left field, RBI; SUDBROOK scored.+1 R 0-2 · McCRANIE advanced to second on a throwing error by p, advanced to third. 0-2 · MEYER singled to center field, RBI; McCRANIE scored, team unearned.+1 R 0-2 · WAGNER pinch hit for ARSICH. 0-2 · ZIMMERMAN, J to p for GROESCHL, B. 0-2 · WAGNER hit by pitch; MEYER advanced to second. 0-2 · FORTES, M to p for ZIMMERMAN, J. 0-2 · ZUMWALT flied out to cf. 0-2 · LINDQUIST struck out swinging. 5-2 ▼ 7th· Dayton batting
· McCRANIE to 2b. 5-2 · WAGNER to lf. 5-2 · LINDQUIST to c. 5-2 · CAMBPELL to cf. 5-2 · FLISS to p for HOJNOWSKI. 5-2 · MACDOUGALL R hit by pitch. 5-2 · GRAY, A to dh for BELLO, J. 5-2 · GRAY, A hit by pitch; MACDOUGALL R advanced to second. 5-2 · SMITH, M singled down the lf line; GRAY, A advanced to second; MACDOUGALL R advanced to third. 5-2 · LYNCH, C singled to left center, RBI; SMITH, M advanced to second; GRAY, A advanced to third; MACDOUGALL R scored.+1 R 5-2 · STANG, B doubled to center field, 2 RBI; LYNCH, C advanced to third; SMITH, M scored; GRAY, A scored.+2 R 5-3 Dayton 4 5 0 2 2 2 3 · · 17 1
Dayton
3–11
Dayton 3–13 Dayton 3–15 Toledo 8–15 Dayton 8–18 MACDOUGALL D walked.
· WOUTERS, D singled down the lf line, bunt; MACDOUGALL D advanced to second.
· STEM, S singled, bunt; WOUTERS, D advanced to second; MACDOUGALL D advanced to third.
· HOWELL, M singled through the left side, 2 RBI; STEM, S advanced to second; WOUTERS, D scored; MACDOUGALL D scored.+2 R
· HOWELL, M advanced to second on a wild pitch; STEM, S advanced to third on a wild pitch.
· BELLO, J grounded out to ss, RBI; HOWELL, M advanced to third; STEM, S scored.+1 R
· SMITH, M flied out to rf, SF, RBI; HOWELL, M scored.+1 R
· LYNCH, C struck out swinging. 0-4 ▲ 2nd· Toledo batting
· McCRANIE flied out to cf. 0-4 · WALTON flied out to cf. 0-4 · ARSICH flied out to rf. 0-4 ▼ 2nd· Dayton batting
· STANG, B singled up the middle. 0-4 · CARPENTER, G singled down the rf line, advanced to second; STANG, B advanced to third. 0-4 · MACDOUGALL D homered to right field, 3 RBI; CARPENTER, G scored; STANG, B scored.+3 R 0-4 · WOUTERS, D singled to left center. 0-4 · WOUTERS, D advanced to second on a passed ball. 0-4 · STEM, S struck out swinging. 0-4 · HOWELL, M homered to right center, 2 RBI; WOUTERS, D scored.+2 R 0-4 · CURRY to p for GIESIGE. 0-4 · BELLO, J struck out looking. 0-4 · SMITH, M walked. 0-4 · SMITH, M advanced to second on a passed ball. 0-4 · SMITH, M advanced to third on a wild pitch. 0-4 · LYNCH, C walked. 0-4 · STANG, B struck out swinging, out at first c to 1b. 0-5 ▲ 3rd· Toledo batting
· CAHILL singled to second base. 0-5 · O'BRIEN homered to left field, 2 RBI; CAHILL scored.+2 R 0-5 · SUDBROOK, R walked. 0-5 · BAKER hit by pitch; SUDBROOK, R advanced to second. 0-5 · COX, D to p for PERKOWSKI, W. 0-5 · SCHOLVIN singled through the left side, RBI; BAKER advanced to second; SUDBROOK, R scored.+1 R 0-5 · SUDBROOK struck out swinging. 0-5 · McCRANIE grounded into double play ss to 2b to 1b; SCHOLVIN out on the play. 3-5 ▼ 3rd· Dayton batting
· CARPENTER, G grounded out to 2b. 3-5 · MACDOUGALL D singled to left field. 3-5 · MACDOUGALL D stole second. 3-5 · WOUTERS, D walked. 3-5 · MACDOUGALL D stole third. 3-5 · STEM, S struck out swinging; WOUTERS, D stole second. 3-5 · HOWELL, M flied out to cf. 3-0 ▲ 4th· Toledo batting
· WALTON struck out swinging. 3-0 · ARSICH struck out swinging. 3-0 · CAHILL walked. 3-0 · O'BRIEN singled to left field; CAHILL advanced to second. 3-0 · SAMUELS, C to p for COX, D. 3-0 · SUDBROOK, R grounded out to 2b. 0-0 ▼ 4th· Dayton batting
· BELLO, J struck out swinging. 0-0 · SMITH, M singled to third base. 0-0 · SMITH, M stole second. 0-0 · LYNCH, C doubled to right center, RBI; SMITH, M scored.+1 R 0-0 · STANG, B struck out looking. 0-0 · CARPENTER, G doubled to left field, RBI; LYNCH, C scored.+1 R 0-0 · CARPENTER, G picked off. 0-0 · CARPENTER, G picked off. 0-0 · CARPENTER, G out at second c to 2b, picked off. 0-2 ▲ 5th· Toledo batting
· AHLERS, T to rf for STEM, S. 0-2 · BAKER fouled out to lf. 0-2 · SCHOLVIN flied out to rf. 0-2 · SUDBROOK grounded out to 1b unassisted. 0-2 ▼ 5th· Dayton batting
· ORMAZA to p for CURRY. 0-2 · MACDOUGALL D struck out swinging. 0-2 · WOUTERS, D hit by pitch. 0-2 · AHLERS, T walked; WOUTERS, D advanced to second. 0-2 · AHLERS, T stole second, advanced to third; WOUTERS, D stole third, scored on the throw.+1 R 0-2 · HOWELL, M singled to left field, RBI; AHLERS, T scored.+1 R 0-2 · HOWELL, M advanced to second on a wild pitch. 0-2 · BELLO, J lined into double play ss to 2b; HOWELL, M out on the play. 0-2 ▲ 6th· Toledo batting
· McCRANIE doubled to right center. 0-2 · MEYER to dh for WALTON. 0-2 · MEYER walked. 0-2 · ARSICH grounded into double play 2b to 1b; MEYER out on the play. 0-2 · PAYNE pinch hit for CAHILL. 0-2 · PAYNE struck out looking. 0-2 ▼ 6th· Dayton batting
· ZUMWALT to 1b for PAYNE. 0-2 · SMITH, M walked. 0-2 · SMITH, M advanced to second on a passed ball. 0-2 · LYNCH, C doubled to left center, RBI; SMITH, M scored.+1 R 0-2 · HOJNOWSKI to p for ORMAZA. 0-2 · LYNCH, C advanced to third on a wild pitch. 0-2 · STANG, B walked. 0-2 · CARPENTER, G flied out to 2b. 0-2 · MACDOUGALL D walked; STANG, B advanced to second. 0-2 · WOUTERS, D flied out to cf, RBI; LYNCH, C scored.+1 R 0-2 · AHLERS, T struck out swinging. 0-2 ▲ 7th· Toledo batting
· MACDOUGALL R to c for HOWELL, M. 0-2 · MALECHA, P to p for SAMUELS, C. 0-2 · LINDQUIST pinch hit for O'BRIEN. 0-2 · CAMBPELL pinch hit for SUDBROOK, R. 0-2 · LINDQUIST walked. 0-2 · CAMBPELL flied out to lf. 0-2 · BAKER singled through the left side; LINDQUIST advanced to second. 0-2 · SCHOLVIN singled to left center, RBI; BAKER advanced to second; LINDQUIST scored.+1 R 0-2 · COLLINS, L to p for MALECHA, P. 0-2 · SCHOLVIN advanced to second on a balk; BAKER advanced to third. 0-2 · SUDBROOK doubled to right center, 2 RBI; SCHOLVIN scored; BAKER scored.+2 R 0-2 · GROESCHL, B to p for COLLINS, L. 0-2 · McCRANIE singled to left field, RBI; SUDBROOK scored.+1 R 0-2 · McCRANIE advanced to second on a throwing error by p, advanced to third. 0-2 · MEYER singled to center field, RBI; McCRANIE scored, team unearned.+1 R 0-2 · WAGNER pinch hit for ARSICH. 0-2 · ZIMMERMAN, J to p for GROESCHL, B. 0-2 · WAGNER hit by pitch; MEYER advanced to second. 0-2 · FORTES, M to p for ZIMMERMAN, J. 0-2 · ZUMWALT flied out to cf. 0-2 · LINDQUIST struck out swinging. 5-2 ▼ 7th· Dayton batting
· McCRANIE to 2b. 5-2 · WAGNER to lf. 5-2 · LINDQUIST to c. 5-2 · CAMBPELL to cf. 5-2 · FLISS to p for HOJNOWSKI. 5-2 · MACDOUGALL R hit by pitch. 5-2 · GRAY, A to dh for BELLO, J. 5-2 · GRAY, A hit by pitch; MACDOUGALL R advanced to second. 5-2 · SMITH, M singled down the lf line; GRAY, A advanced to second; MACDOUGALL R advanced to third. 5-2 · LYNCH, C singled to left center, RBI; SMITH, M advanced to second; GRAY, A advanced to third; MACDOUGALL R scored.+1 R 5-2 · STANG, B doubled to center field, 2 RBI; LYNCH, C advanced to third; SMITH, M scored; GRAY, A scored.+2 R 5-3 
